Discussion:
Alberta Poll
Add Reply
M I Wakefield
2019-04-15 12:41:19 UTC
Reply
Permalink
There could be a flurry of these today:

Ipsos:

UCP: 50
NDP: 40
Alta: 7
Lib: 1

https://globalnews.ca/news/5167276/alberta-election-poll-ndp-bridge-gap-not-enough/
M I Wakefield
2019-04-15 12:58:30 UTC
Reply
Permalink
Globe & Mail / Nanos:

UCP: 44.3
NDP: 36.4
Alta: 12.0
Lib: 3.2
Free: 2.2

Kenney leads Notley as preferred Premier 37.3 - 34.8.

https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/5861122/Nanos-Research-Alberta-election-poll.pdf
The Doctor
2019-04-15 15:14:09 UTC
Reply
Permalink
Post by M I Wakefield
UCP: 44.3
NDP: 36.4
Alta: 12.0
Lib: 3.2
Free: 2.2
Kenney leads Notley as preferred Premier 37.3 - 34.8.
https://assets.documentcloud.org/documents/5861122/Nanos-Research-Alberta-election-poll.pdf
Let goe with these numbers.
--
Member - Liberal International This is doctor@@nl2k.ab.ca Ici doctor@@nl2k.ab.ca
Yahweh, Queen & country!Never Satan President Republic!Beware AntiChrist rising!
https://www.empire.kred/ROOTNK?t=94a1f39b Look at Psalms 14 and 53 on Atheism
Alberta on 16 April 2019, do not vote UCP, FCP nor NDP!
The Doctor
2019-04-15 15:13:27 UTC
Reply
Permalink
Post by M I Wakefield
UCP: 50
NDP: 40
Alta: 7
Lib: 1
https://globalnews.ca/news/5167276/alberta-election-poll-ndp-bridge-gap-not-enough/
What about Nanos?
--
Member - Liberal International This is doctor@@nl2k.ab.ca Ici doctor@@nl2k.ab.ca
Yahweh, Queen & country!Never Satan President Republic!Beware AntiChrist rising!
https://www.empire.kred/ROOTNK?t=94a1f39b Look at Psalms 14 and 53 on Atheism
Alberta on 16 April 2019, do not vote UCP, FCP nor NDP!
M I Wakefield
2019-04-16 02:25:04 UTC
Reply
Permalink
I think six counts as a flurry ... all in the order of UCP, NDP, Alberta,
Liberal, and, Other:

Ipsos / Global: 50 40 7 1

Nanos / G&M: 44 36 12 3 5

Mainstreet: 48 40 8 2 2

Pollara: 45 39 8 3 5

Leger: 50 36 8 3 3

Research Co: 49 39 9 2 2

If you want the gory details, they're all available via the CBC Poll
Tracker:
https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/poll-tracker/alberta/

The results last time out were NDP 40.6, Wildrose 24.2, PC 27.8, Liberal
4.2, Alberta 2.3 ... which after you add the Wildrose and PC votes together,
isn't very different from where the polls stand today.

The seat results were NDP 54, Wild Rose 21, PC 10, Liberals and Alberta 1
each, with 44 needed for a majority.

It looks like the NDP will just about sweep Edmonton, but that's what did
that last time, so they can't add new seats there to make up for loses
elsewhere.

And there will be losses elsewhere ... the NDP won 15 seats in Calgary in
2015, and in 12 of those seats, they won with under 40% of the vote ... in
the rest of the province, outside the two major cities, there are another 8
seats won with under 40% of the vote ... that's 20 NDP MLAs who are skating
on very thin ice as they go up against a union of their two largest
opponents from four years ago.
M I Wakefield
2019-04-16 13:47:34 UTC
Reply
Permalink
And another one ... polled yesterday, and looks like it was released 4
minutes before midnight (Mountain Time), and thus technically before
Election Day.

From Forum Research, in order of UCP, NDP, Alberta Party, Liberal, and,
Other.

Total 50.6 34.6 10.9 2.2 1.7

Cal 54.3 31.6 10.4 2.6 1.1
Edm 43.5 43.2 9.0 2.3 2.0
South 55.3 33.9 6.2 1.2 3.4
Cent 53.2 25.5 19.2 0.5 1.7
North 52.3 30.8 11.7 3.9 1.3

Note that Forum uses the Stats Can defined Census Metropolitan Area for
Edmonton and Calgary, not the city limits.

http://poll.forumresearch.com/data/6cf7383c-8c28-4468-832e-885570eb2cb4Alberta%20Election%202019.pdf
Loading...